Stance

Tech

Largest Company end of July?
Tech

Largest Company end of July?

Apple01234567890123456789%
NVIDIA01234567890123456789%
Microsoft0123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$5.90M
Largest Company end of August?
Tech

Largest Company end of August?

Apple01234567890123456789%
NVIDIA01234567890123456789%
Alphabet0123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$454K
2nd Largest Company end of July?
Tech

2nd Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA01234567890123456789%
Apple01234567890123456789%
Alphabet0123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$662K
Best Chinese AI Company end of July?
China

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

Alibaba01234567890123456789%
Moonshot0123456789%
ByteDance0123456789%
+8 more outcomes
Volume$925K
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Tech

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Anthropic012345678901234567890123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
Google0123456789%
+12 more outcomes
Volume$8.18M
Which company has best AI model end of August?
AI

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
Google0123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$510K
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
Tesla

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 3101234567890123456789%
September 300123456789%
Volume$930K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

August 3101234567890123456789%
August 2101234567890123456789%
August 1401234567890123456789%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$389K
3rd Largest Company end of August?
Tech

3rd Largest Company end of August?

Alphabet01234567890123456789%
Apple0123456789%
Microsoft0123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$117K
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AI

Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
Moonshot0123456789%
+15 more outcomes
Volume$63K
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA01234567890123456789%
Apple01234567890123456789%
Alphabet01234567890123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$4.97M
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+01234567890123456789%
45%+01234567890123456789%
50%+01234567890123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$20K
GPT-6 released by…?
OpenAI

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 202601234567890123456789%
September 30, 202601234567890123456789%
August 31, 202601234567890123456789%
+4 more outcomes
Volume$794K
Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?
Tech

Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?

$0.70-$0.80T01234567890123456789%
<$0.70T01234567890123456789%
$0.80-$0.90T0123456789%
+4 more outcomes
Volume$162K
Will Claude go down on __ days in July?
AI

Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

12+012345678901234567890123456789%
9-110123456789%
Volume$100K
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
Supreme Court

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 3101234567890123456789%
July 310123456789%
Volume$972K
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
Google0123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$40K
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Tech

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
Google01234567890123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
+12 more outcomes
Volume$422K
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Tech

2nd Largest Company end of August?

NVIDIA01234567890123456789%
Apple01234567890123456789%
Alphabet01234567890123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$63K
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

OpenAI01234567890123456789%
Meta01234567890123456789%
Moonshot0123456789%
+13 more outcomes
Volume$13K
Third-best AI Lab end of September?
AI

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Meta01234567890123456789%
Google01234567890123456789%
Alibaba01234567890123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$16K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

August 1101234567890123456789%
August 2101234567890123456789%
August 2501234567890123456789%
+29 more outcomes
Volume$6K
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?

OpenAI01234567890123456789%
StepFun01234567890123456789%
Microsoft01234567890123456789%
+17 more outcomes
Volume$9K
AI bubble burst by...?
Business

AI bubble burst by...?

01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes+3.3%
Volume$2.92M
3rd Largest Company end of July?
Tech

3rd Largest Company end of July?

Alphabet012345678901234567890123456789%
NVIDIA0123456789%
Microsoft0123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$344K
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
Tech

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?

America01234567890123456789%
International01234567890123456789%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times01234567890123456789%
+20 more outcomes
Volume$16K
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
AI

GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?

01234567890123456789%
$2.60–$2.90
most likely range
Volume$92K
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+01234567890123456789%
60%+01234567890123456789%
65%+01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$23K
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Anthropic

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

September 3001234567890123456789%
August 3101234567890123456789%
July 310123456789%
Volume$85K
What will Apple say during their next earnings call?
Tech

What will Apple say during their next earnings call?

iPhone 10+ times01234567890123456789%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times01234567890123456789%
Apple Intelligence01234567890123456789%
+21 more outcomes
Volume$19K
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

154001234567890123456789%
153001234567890123456789%
152001234567890123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$147K
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?
Tech

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
Moonshot0123456789%
+12 more outcomes
Volume$384K
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
AI

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?

Google01234567890123456789%
Anthropic01234567890123456789%
Alibaba01234567890123456789%
+17 more outcomes
Volume$8K
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AI

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Alibaba01234567890123456789%
Moonshot01234567890123456789%
Z.ai0123456789%
+8 more outcomes
Volume$43K
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AI

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

Moonshot01234567890123456789%
OpenAI01234567890123456789%
Anthropic0123456789%
+13 more outcomes
Volume$46K
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
AI

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+01234567890123456789%
60%+01234567890123456789%
70%+01234567890123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$5K
GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?
AI

GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?

01234567890123456789%
$5.00–$6.00
most likely range
Volume$63K
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finance

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Frontier Airlines01234567890123456789%
JetBlue0123456789%
Allegiant0123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$134K
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156001234567890123456789%
158001234567890123456789%
160001234567890123456789%
Volume$161K
Third-best AI Lab end of August?
AI

Third-best AI Lab end of August?

Meta01234567890123456789%
Google01234567890123456789%
Alibaba01234567890123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$20K