Stance

Tech

Largest Company end of September?
Tech

Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA01234567890123456789%
Apple0123456789%
Alphabet0123456789%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$1.75M
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
Google0123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$3.22M
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AI

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba01234567890123456789%
Moonshot0123456789%
Z.ai0123456789%
+8 more outcomes
Volume$376K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Tech

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes−6.5%
Volume$246K
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
AI

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Hodge Conjecture01234567890123456789%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer01234567890123456789%
No solution by Dec 31, 202701234567890123456789%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$104K
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA01234567890123456789%
Apple01234567890123456789%
Alphabet0123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$7.20M
2nd Largest Company end of September?
Tech

2nd Largest Company end of September?

Apple01234567890123456789%
NVIDIA0123456789%
Alphabet0123456789%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$108K
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
Gemini

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 3001234567890123456789%
October 3101234567890123456789%
September 3001234567890123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$484K
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
AI

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

001234567890123456789%
101234567890123456789%
201234567890123456789%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$47K
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
AI

GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?

01234567890123456789%
$7.00–$7.50
most likely range
Volume$35K
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
Finance

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH01234567890123456789%
$ANT01234567890123456789%
$AAI0123456789%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$104K
Third-best AI Lab end of September?
AI

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Meta01234567890123456789%
Google01234567890123456789%
Moonshot0123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$85K
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
AI

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202701234567890123456789%
December 31, 202601234567890123456789%
September 30, 202601234567890123456789%
Volume$191K
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
KPIs

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

December 3101234567890123456789%
October 3101234567890123456789%
September 300123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$1.03M
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
AI

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202701234567890123456789%
December 31, 202601234567890123456789%
September 30, 202601234567890123456789%
Volume$101K
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
Tech

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

October 3101234567890123456789%
September 3001234567890123456789%
Super Heavy booster explodes?01234567890123456789%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$515K
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

1500+01234567890123456789%
1505+01234567890123456789%
1510+01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$54K
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
AI

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+01234567890123456789%
50%+01234567890123456789%
55%+01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$101K
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
AI

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+01234567890123456789%
50%+01234567890123456789%
55%+01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$55K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
Gemini

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+01234567890123456789%
1490+01234567890123456789%
1495+01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$161K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 3101234567890123456789%
October 1501234567890123456789%
September 3001234567890123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$1.29M
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?
AI

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+01234567890123456789%
1480+01234567890123456789%
1490+01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$29K
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
Tech

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

3-6 hours01234567890123456789%
1-3 hours01234567890123456789%
6-12 hours01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$16K
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Z.ai01234567890123456789%
Google01234567890123456789%
Alibaba01234567890123456789%
+17 more outcomes
Volume$56K
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
Google0123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$252K
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 7?
AI

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 7?

Google01234567890123456789%
Z.ai0123456789%
MiniMax0123456789%
+9 more outcomes
Volume$10K
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
AI

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202701234567890123456789%
December 31, 202601234567890123456789%
September 30, 202601234567890123456789%
Volume$45K
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
AI

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Google01234567890123456789%
Meta01234567890123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$104K
Best AI model on September 14?
AI

Best AI model on September 14?

claude-fable-5.1-max01234567890123456789%
Other0123456789%
claude-opus-5-max0123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$35K
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 7?
AI

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 7?

DeepSeek01234567890123456789%
Google0123456789%
MiniMax0123456789%
+9 more outcomes
Volume$5K
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 7?
AI

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 7?

OpenAI01234567890123456789%
DeepSeek0123456789%
Z.ai0123456789%
+9 more outcomes
Volume$10K
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

December 3101234567890123456789%
October 3101234567890123456789%
September 3001234567890123456789%
Volume$19K
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes+3.0%
Volume$50K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by September 3001234567890123456789%
September 230123456789%
September 300123456789%
+16 more outcomes
Volume$92K
Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026
Tech

Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026

Erling Braut Haaland01234567890123456789%
Alysa Liu01234567890123456789%
Arch Manning01234567890123456789%
+9 more outcomes
Volume$12K
3rd Largest Company end of September?
Tech

3rd Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet01234567890123456789%
Microsoft0123456789%
Apple0123456789%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$177K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Business

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

MGM Resorts01234567890123456789%
PayPal01234567890123456789%
Brown-Forman01234567890123456789%
+11 more outcomes
Volume$18.24M
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes+6.5%
Volume$23K
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
Big Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157501234567890123456789%
160001234567890123456789%
Volume$127K
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
IPO

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 202701234567890123456789%
11–14B0123456789%
8–11B0123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$87K