Stance
Fed Decision in September?
fomc

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase01234567890123456789%
No change01234567890123456789%
50+ bps increase0123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$136.88M
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Crypto

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes+1.0%
Volume$15.15M
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
US Open

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Alexander Zverev01234567890123456789%
Ben Shelton01234567890123456789%
Casper Ruud0123456789%
Volume$25.30M
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3101234567890123456789%
October 3101234567890123456789%
September 300123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$13.47M
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.0%01234567890123456789%
5.1%01234567890123456789%
5.2%01234567890123456789%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$382K
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?
Senate

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

December 31, 202601234567890123456789%
November 2, 20260123456789%
Volume$11K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202701234567890123456789%
November 30, 202701234567890123456789%
October 31, 202701234567890123456789%
+12 more outcomes
Volume$7.53M
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic01234567890123456789%
Google0123456789%
OpenAI0123456789%
+18 more outcomes
Volume$3.17M
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson01234567890123456789%
Ulf Kristersson01234567890123456789%
Ebba Busch0123456789%
+7 more outcomes
Volume$5.67M
Anthropic IPO by __?
Finance

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 202601234567890123456789%
December 15, 202601234567890123456789%
November 30, 202601234567890123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$2.91M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3101234567890123456789%
October 3101234567890123456789%
September 3001234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$27.85M
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Main Election

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot01234567890123456789%
Benjamin Netanyahu01234567890123456789%
Naftali Bennett0123456789%
+16 more outcomes
Volume$37.16M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
United States

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep01234567890123456789%
R Senate, D House01234567890123456789%
Republicans Sweep01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$11.58M
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Trump

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly01234567890123456789%
Scott Jennings01234567890123456789%
Maria Bartiromo01234567890123456789%
+23 more outcomes
Volume$402K
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
Courts

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 202701234567890123456789%
December 31, 20260123456789%
Volume$612K
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
NATO

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3101234567890123456789%
October 310123456789%
Volume$6.75M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Senate

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party01234567890123456789%
Republican Party01234567890123456789%
Volume$4.29M
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
United States

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance01234567890123456789%
Marco Rubio01234567890123456789%
Tucker Carlson0123456789%
+39 more outcomes
Volume$703.54M
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 202701234567890123456789%
December 31, 202601234567890123456789%
October 31, 202601234567890123456789%
+1 more outcomes
Volume$11.14M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Military Strikes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$65.78M