
Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
chance of Yes+1.0%
Volume$50.63M

fomc
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase
No change
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$8.06M

CPI Release
Fed rate hike in 2026?
chance of Yes−10.0%
Volume$6.00M

Iran Regime
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31
September 30
August 31
+1 more outcomes
Volume$68.37M

primary elections
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
Haley Stevens
Mallory McMorrow
+6 more outcomes
Volume$1.68M

Crypto
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
chance of Yes+2.0%
Volume$3.32M

Tech
Largest Company end of July?
Apple
NVIDIA
Microsoft
+5 more outcomes
Volume$5.76M

James Comey
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
Mahmoud Khalil
Letitia James
+21 more outcomes
Volume$248K

Sports
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Los Angeles Rams
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens
+29 more outcomes
Volume$42.35M

OpenAI
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
August 31, 2026
+4 more outcomes
Volume$794K

Finance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
↓ $80
↑ $90
↓ $75
+17 more outcomes
Volume$15.89M

Soccer
Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Manchester City
+5 more outcomes
Volume$233K

Iran
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 31
August 14
July 31
Volume$8.09M

Politics
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham Nordone
Ralph Norman
Russell Fry
+11 more outcomes
Volume$515K

Iran
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 27
July 28
July 29
+6 more outcomes
Volume$11.48M

Iran
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31
September 30
August 31
+3 more outcomes
Volume$11.88M

Soccer
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
Lamine Yamal
Kylian Mbappé
+28 more outcomes
Volume$23.81M

Main Election
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu
Naftali Bennett
+15 more outcomes
Volume$30.39M

Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31
September 30
August 31
+1 more outcomes
Volume$8.75M

Oil
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 31
August 15
Volume$4.34M