Soccer
World Cup Winner
Spain01234567890123456789%
France01234567890123456789%
Portugal01234567890123456789%
+45 more outcomes
Volume$2.36B
Iran
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 3101234567890123456789%
October 3101234567890123456789%
August 3101234567890123456789%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$342.81M
Claude
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
July 101234567890123456789%
June 2201234567890123456789%
June 150123456789%
Volume$147K
Politics
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
June 130123456789%
June 120123456789%
Volume$57.06M
Strait of Hormuz
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Oil Sanction Relief01234567890123456789%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets01234567890123456789%
Troop Withdrawal01234567890123456789%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$2.60M
Culture
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3101234567890123456789%
September 300123456789%
June 300123456789%
Volume$53.48M
Macro Geopolitics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes+10.0%
Volume$23.15M
Geopolitics
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3101234567890123456789%
July 310123456789%
June 300123456789%
Volume$15.31M
Politics
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 3101234567890123456789%
June 3001234567890123456789%
June 2101234567890123456789%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$48.28M
FIFA World Cup
World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Germany01234567890123456789%
Spain01234567890123456789%
USA01234567890123456789%
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US Election
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party01234567890123456789%
Republican Party01234567890123456789%
Volume$7.23M
Politics
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori01234567890123456789%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino0123456789%
Rafael López Aliaga0123456789%
+20 more outcomes
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Politics
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella01234567890123456789%
Iván Cepeda Castro01234567890123456789%
Vicky Dávila (IND)0123456789%
+14 more outcomes
Volume$37.18M
World Elections
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Marco Rubio01234567890123456789%
JD Vance01234567890123456789%
Gavin Newsom01234567890123456789%
+34 more outcomes
Volume$628.65M
Politics
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Qatar01234567890123456789%
Switzerland01234567890123456789%
No Meeting by June 300123456789%
+16 more outcomes
Volume$10.66M
Iran Ceasefire
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
01234567890123456789%
chance of Yes−8.0%
Volume$388K