Stance
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
AI·Tech·AI Agent

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

VOL $82,190
Google—
OpenAI—
Anthropic—
Moonshot—
ALL
Google
Google
VOL $7,022
01234567890123456789%
OpenAI
OpenAI
VOL $30,534
01234567890123456789%
Anthropic
Anthropic
VOL $16,937
0123456789%
Moonshot
Moonshot
VOL $10,401
0123456789%
Meta
Meta
VOL $3,278
0123456789%
Z.ai
Z.ai
VOL $2,327
0123456789%
SpaceXAI
SpaceXAI
VOL $2,346
0123456789%
Alibaba
Alibaba
VOL $976
0123456789%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
VOL $1,553
0123456789%
Xiaomi
Xiaomi
VOL $478
0123456789%
MiniMax
MiniMax
VOL $987
0123456789%
Nvidia
Nvidia
VOL $826
0123456789%
ByteDance
ByteDance
VOL $825
0123456789%
Baidu
Baidu
VOL $839
0123456789%
Amazon
Amazon
VOL $933
0123456789%
Mistral
Mistral
VOL $578
0123456789%
Meituan
Meituan
VOL $949
0123456789%
Microsoft
Microsoft
VOL $400
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Google
Google
Yes01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789