Stance
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
AI·Tech·AI Agent

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

VOL $60,707
OpenAI—
Google—
DeepSeek—
Nvidia—
ALL
OpenAI
OpenAI
VOL $14,835
01234567890123456789%
Google
Google
VOL $10,037
0123456789%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
VOL $1,183
0123456789%
Nvidia
Nvidia
VOL $1,262
0123456789%
Meta
Meta
VOL $4,038
0123456789%
Moonshot
Moonshot
VOL $13,402
0123456789%
SpaceXAI
SpaceXAI
VOL $4,177
0123456789%
Alibaba
Alibaba
VOL $1,482
0123456789%
Anthropic
Anthropic
VOL $2,376
0123456789%
MiniMax
MiniMax
VOL $897
0123456789%
Z.ai
Z.ai
VOL $1,256
0123456789%
Xiaomi
Xiaomi
VOL $947
0123456789%
ByteDance
ByteDance
VOL $887
0123456789%
Baidu
Baidu
VOL $794
0123456789%
Amazon
Amazon
VOL $828
0123456789%
Mistral
Mistral
VOL $752
0123456789%
Meituan
Meituan
VOL $783
0123456789%
Microsoft
Microsoft
VOL $771
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
OpenAI
OpenAI
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789