Stance
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Tech·AI·Grok

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

VOL $1,336,947
Anthropic
OpenAI
Google
xAI
ALL
Anthropic
Anthropic
VOL $162,280
01234567890123456789%
OpenAI
OpenAI
VOL $127,568
01234567890123456789%
Google
Google
VOL $87,196
01234567890123456789%
xAI
xAI
VOL $109,516
0123456789%
Meta
Meta
VOL $83,129
0123456789%
Alibaba
Alibaba
VOL $72,844
0123456789%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
VOL $92,683
0123456789%
Z.ai
Z.ai
VOL $76,670
0123456789%
Moonshot
Moonshot
VOL $92,592
0123456789%
Baidu
Baidu
VOL $71,205
0123456789%
ByteDance
ByteDance
VOL $85,521
0123456789%
Mistral
Mistral
VOL $73,893
0123456789%
Meituan
Meituan
VOL $63,311
0123456789%
Microsoft
Microsoft
VOL $69,894
0123456789%
Amazon
Amazon
VOL $68,646
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Anthropic
Anthropic
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789