Politics
Main Election
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
Gadi Eizenkot
Naftali Bennett
+16 more outcomes
Volume$78.76M
Parent For Derivative
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Volume$26.26M
Politics
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25–29
most likely range
Volume$7.13M
Politics
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Likud
Yashar
Together
+3 more outcomes
Volume$15.08M
United States
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
R Senate, D House
Republicans Sweep
+2 more outcomes
Volume$41.57M
Iran
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 28
October 31
November 2
+6 more outcomes
Volume$28.89M
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
320–339
most likely range
Volume$1.33M
French Election
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
Édouard Philippe
David Lisnard
+42 more outcomes
Volume$158.71M
Iran
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
December 31
November 30
+3 more outcomes
Volume$43.85M
United States
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Jon Ossoff
+50 more outcomes
Volume$1.30B
United States
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Ron DeSantis
+40 more outcomes
Volume$718.79M
Oil
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$3.98M
Senate
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Volume$10.57M
LA
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass
Nithya Raman
Volume$16.56M
Texas Senate
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
Ken Paxton (R)
Volume$7.31M
Midterms
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
48
49
+8 more outcomes
Volume$4.05M
South Carolina Midterm
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
Volume$1.34M
Israel
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
Together
Joint List
Likud
+11 more outcomes
Volume$579K
World
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
chance of Yes−1.5%
Volume$624K
President
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Gavin Newsom
+52 more outcomes
Volume$720.85M
World
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
7
8+
6
+3 more outcomes
Volume$276K
Alaska Midterm
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
Sen. Dan Sullivan
Ann Diener
+4 more outcomes
Volume$1.95M
Trump
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?
chance of Yes+8.5%
Volume$188K
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
320–339
most likely range
Volume$425K
California Midterm
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
Steve Hilton
Tom Steyer
+20 more outcomes
Volume$42.92M
Reza Pahlavi
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
chance of Yes−2.0%
Volume$28.25M
Politics
NC-09 House Election Winner
Richard Hudson (R)
Richard Ojeda (D)
Volume$290K
Politics
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
None
IA, KS
KS
+125 more outcomes
Volume$181K
Starmer
Next leader out of power before 2027?
None before 2027
Netanyahu - Israel PM
Sánchez - Spanish PM
+19 more outcomes
Volume$2.01M
Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$75.75M
Serbia
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Dejan Šoškić
Radomir Saičić
Ilija Srdanović
+11 more outcomes
Volume$3.65M
Iran
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
chance of Yes+3.0%
Volume$1.51M
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027
December 31
November 30
+1 more outcomes
Volume$28.25M
World
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
6–7
most likely range
Volume$172K
Aliens
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
October 31
Volume$75.55M
Politics
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
chance of Yes+1.1%
Volume$1.04M
World
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu
Naftali Bennett
+16 more outcomes
Volume$310K
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 2027
November 30, 2027
September 30, 2027
+12 more outcomes
Volume$9.99M
Ohio Midterm
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)
Jon Husted (R)
Volume$1.97M
Maine Midterm
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)
Susan Collins (R)
Volume$2.89M