Stance
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
AI·Tech·AI Rankings

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

VOL $75,475
Meta—
Alibaba—
Anthropic—
Moonshot—
ALL
Meta
Meta
VOL $16,019
01234567890123456789%
Alibaba
Alibaba
VOL $11,645
0123456789%
Anthropic
Anthropic
VOL $2,670
0123456789%
Moonshot
Moonshot
VOL $2,122
0123456789%
Xiaomi
Xiaomi
VOL $5,383
0123456789%
OpenAI
OpenAI
VOL $5,649
0123456789%
Google
Google
VOL $15,450
0123456789%
SpaceXAI
SpaceXAI
VOL $2,325
0123456789%
Baidu
Baidu
VOL $1,748
0123456789%
Z.ai
Z.ai
VOL $1,587
0123456789%
Tencent
Tencent
VOL $1,722
0123456789%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
VOL $1,137
0123456789%
Amazon
Amazon
VOL $446
0123456789%
ByteDance
ByteDance
VOL $1,411
0123456789%
Nvidia
Nvidia
VOL $416
0123456789%
Thinky
Thinky
VOL $869
0123456789%
MiniMax
MiniMax
VOL $1,315
0123456789%
Mistral
Mistral
VOL $1,278
0123456789%
Meituan
Meituan
VOL $897
0123456789%
StepFun
StepFun
VOL $730
0123456789%
Microsoft
Microsoft
VOL $657
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Meta
Meta
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789