
AI·Tech·AI Rankings
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
VOL $75,475
ALL

Meta
VOL $16,019

Alibaba
VOL $11,645

Anthropic
VOL $2,670

Moonshot
VOL $2,122

Xiaomi
VOL $5,383

OpenAI
VOL $5,649

Google
VOL $15,450

SpaceXAI
VOL $2,325

Baidu
VOL $1,748

Z.ai
VOL $1,587

Tencent
VOL $1,722

DeepSeek
VOL $1,137

Amazon
VOL $446

ByteDance
VOL $1,411

Nvidia
VOL $416

Thinky
VOL $869

MiniMax
VOL $1,315

Mistral
VOL $1,278

Meituan
VOL $897

StepFun
VOL $730

Microsoft
VOL $657
Rules
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Meta
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Outcome
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$USD
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