Economy
fomc
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$136.65M
Fed
Fed Decision in October?
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$1.77M
CPI Release
Fed rate hike in 2026?
chance of Yes+1.0%
Volume$9.09M
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
chance of Yes+2.5%
Volume$11.46M
Fed
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
September Meeting
Volume$3.24M
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
1 (25 bps)
2 (50 bps)
+10 more outcomes
Volume$52.33M
Economy
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
Apple
Alphabet
+5 more outcomes
Volume$7.18M
Tech
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA
Apple
Alphabet
+6 more outcomes
Volume$1.63M
Fed
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
No change
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$682K
BOJ
Bank of Japan Decision in September?
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$758K
Jerome Powell
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
October Meeting
September Meeting
Volume$3.48M
BOE
Bank of England decision in September?
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$276K
Economy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.0%
5.1%
5.2%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$382K
Canada
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$71K
USD
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
2.2 to 2.5M
2.5 to 2.8M
<2.2M
+2 more outcomes
Volume$15K
Tech
3rd Largest Company end of September?
Alphabet
Microsoft
Apple
+6 more outcomes
Volume$174K
CPI
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%
≤1.9%
2.5-2.9%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$48K
BOJ
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$86K
Economy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Below 4.76%
Below 4.73%
Below 4.70%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$29K
CPI
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$3K
CPI
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%
2.5%
2.3%
+7 more outcomes
Volume$3K
CPI
September Inflation US - Annual
3.5%
3.6%
3.4%
+9 more outcomes
Volume$3K
ECB
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$107K
Inflation
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
3.0%+
2.7% to 2.9%
2.4% to 2.6%
+4 more outcomes
Volume$42K
Fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Cut
+2 more outcomes
Volume$758K
Fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Cut
Volume$863K
Business
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
chance of Yes+0.8%
Volume$213K
CPI
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30
$2.30 to $2.40
$2.10 to $2.20
+7 more outcomes
Volume$3K
BOI
Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change
Decrease
Increase
Volume$14K
Inflation
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
Above 5%
Above 6%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$1.44M
Aus
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
No change
+2 more outcomes
Volume$71K
Economy
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
Below 4.49%
Below 4.52%
Below 4.43%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$6K
Economy
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$2K
Economy
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%
5.45%
5.50%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$11K
Economy
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
4.83%
4.90%
Volume$18K
Parcl
What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
$1.089M - $1.125M
$1.125M - $1.161M
$1.053M - $1.089M
+4 more outcomes
Volume$74K
macro
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change
Decrease
Increase
Volume$17K
RBI
Reserve Bank of India decision in October
25 bps increase
No Change
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$2K
Rate
What will be the next Fed rate change?
chance of Hike+8.0%
Volume$15K
Tech
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple
Alphabet
NVIDIA
+6 more outcomes
Volume$17K