Economy
fomc
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase
No change
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$8.07M
CPI Release
Fed rate hike in 2026?
chance of Yes−10.0%
Volume$6.01M
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
chance of Yes−0.2%
Volume$23.23M
Tech
Largest Company end of July?
Apple
NVIDIA
Microsoft
+5 more outcomes
Volume$5.90M
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
1 (25 bps)
2 (50 bps)
+10 more outcomes
Volume$45.64M
BOJ
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$592K
Fed
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
September Meeting
Volume$1.86M
Tech
Largest Company end of August?
Apple
NVIDIA
Alphabet
+5 more outcomes
Volume$454K
Tech
2nd Largest Company end of July?
NVIDIA
Apple
Alphabet
+5 more outcomes
Volume$662K
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
chance of Yes−2.5%
Volume$6.34M
Fed
Fed Decision in October?
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$409K
CPI
July Inflation US - Annual
3.4%
3.3%
3.5%
+9 more outcomes
Volume$170K
Tech
3rd Largest Company end of August?
Alphabet
Apple
Microsoft
+5 more outcomes
Volume$117K
Economy
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
Apple
Alphabet
+5 more outcomes
Volume$4.97M
China
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
5.0–6.0%
3.0–4.0%
+7 more outcomes
Volume$824K
Economy
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
25 bps decrease
No Change
50+ bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$204K
Tech
Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?
$0.70-$0.80T
<$0.70T
$0.80-$0.90T
+4 more outcomes
Volume$162K
Fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Cut
Volume$651K
ECB
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$164K
Mexico
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?
No change
25 bps decrease
25 bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$27K
Jerome Powell
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
October Meeting
September Meeting
Volume$3.04M
BOJ
Bank of Japan Decision in September?
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$128K
Fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Cut
+2 more outcomes
Volume$605K
BOE
Bank of England decision in September?
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$89K
Economy
Bank of Mexico Decision in August?
No change
25 bps decrease
25 bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$97K
Brazil
Bank of Brazil decision in September?
25 bps decrease
No Change
50+ bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$43K
Economy
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
chance of Yes−0.5%
Volume$54K
CPI
July Inflation US - Monthly
≥0.1%
0.0%
-0.1%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$74K
Tech
2nd Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIA
Apple
Alphabet
+5 more outcomes
Volume$63K
Inflation
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
Above 5%
Above 8%
+2 more outcomes
Volume$1.34M
Parcl
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
<$1.176M
$1.176M - $1.198M
$1.198M - $1.220M
+4 more outcomes
Volume$19K
Tech
3rd Largest Company end of July?
Alphabet
NVIDIA
Microsoft
+5 more outcomes
Volume$344K
Aus
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$85K
Trump
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
5%+
6%+
7%+
+3 more outcomes
Volume$19K
Canada
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change
25 bps decrease
25 bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$16K
macro
Bank of Russia decision in September?
No Change
Decrease
Increase
Volume$49K
Jerome Powell
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
↓ 3.25%
↑ 4.5%
+17 more outcomes
Volume$1.71M
ECB
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$5K
BOI
Bank of Israel Decision in September?
No Change
Decrease
Increase
Volume$23K
Economy
Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?
50+ bps increase
25 bps increase
No change
+2 more outcomes
Volume$17K