Economy
fomc
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$146.24M
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
chance of Yes−3.0%
Volume$11.63M
Tech
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA
Apple
Alphabet
+6 more outcomes
Volume$1.75M
CPI Release
Fed rate hike in 2026?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$9.20M
Fed
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
September Meeting
Volume$3.37M
Fed
Fed Decision in October?
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$1.86M
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
1 (25 bps)
2 (50 bps)
+10 more outcomes
Volume$52.37M
Economy
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
Apple
Alphabet
+5 more outcomes
Volume$7.20M
BOJ
Bank of Japan Decision in September?
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$770K
Tech
2nd Largest Company end of September?
Apple
NVIDIA
Alphabet
+6 more outcomes
Volume$108K
Fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Cut
Volume$870K
Jerome Powell
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
↑ 4.5%
↓ 3.25%
+17 more outcomes
Volume$1.81M
Economy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.0%
5.1%
5.2%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$390K
Business
US recession by end of 2026?
chance of Yes+3.0%
Volume$1.75M
ECB
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$116K
RBI
Reserve Bank of India decision in October
No Change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$6K
Aus
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$45K
Economy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 3.9%
Below 3.8%
Below 3.7%
+5 more outcomes
Volume$259K
Business
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
chance of Yes+0.6%
Volume$218K
USD
USD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+
2.1-2.2M
2.0-2.1M
+4 more outcomes
Volume$51K
BOE
Bank of England decision in September?
No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$283K
CPI
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
+4 more outcomes
Volume$4K
Tech
3rd Largest Company end of September?
Alphabet
Microsoft
Apple
+6 more outcomes
Volume$177K
UMich
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026
46.0 to 48.9
55.0 to 57.9
49.0 to 51.9
+4 more outcomes
Volume$3K
USD
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
2.2 to 2.5M
2.5 to 2.8M
<2.2M
+2 more outcomes
Volume$18K
Jerome Powell
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
October Meeting
September Meeting
Volume$3.48M
CPI
September Inflation US - Annual
3.5%
3.6%
3.4%
+9 more outcomes
Volume$6K
Parcl
What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
$663K - $689K
$636K - $663K
$609K - $636K
+4 more outcomes
Volume$73K
CPI
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%
≤1.9%
2.5-2.9%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$52K
GDP
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5%
>2.5%
1.5–2.0%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$68K
macro
Bank of Russia decision in October?
Decrease
No Change
Increase
Volume$19K
Fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Cut
+2 more outcomes
Volume$761K
Parcl
What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
$419K - $426K
<$419K
$426K - $433K
+4 more outcomes
Volume$86K
GDP
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.0% to 0.2%
-0.3% to -0.1%
0.6% to 0.8%
+4 more outcomes
Volume$10K
PPI
PPI YoY - September 2026
5.9%+
5.7%
5.4%
+7 more outcomes
Volume$2K
CPI
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30
$2.10 to $2.20
$2.30 to $2.40
+7 more outcomes
Volume$6K
USD
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M
3.0 - 3.5M
2.0 - 2.5M
+3 more outcomes
Volume$11K
SNB
Swiss National Bank decision in September?
No Change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$6K
Economy
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%
5.45%
5.50%
+6 more outcomes
Volume$13K
Fed
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$688K