Stance
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
GDP·Economy·Economic Policy

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

VOL $72,582
≥3.0%—
2.5–3.0%—
2.0–2.5%—
1.5–2.0%—
ALL
≥3.0%
VOL $54,713
01234567890123456789%
2.5–3.0%
VOL $5,909
01234567890123456789%
2.0–2.5%
VOL $4,494
0123456789%
1.5–2.0%
VOL $2,054
0123456789%
1.0–1.5%
VOL $1,679
0123456789%
0.5–1.0%
VOL $1,605
0123456789%
<0.5%
VOL $2,128
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
≥3.0%
≥3.0%
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789