
Economy·Fed Rates·Treasuries
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
VOL $380,267
ALL
Below 4.70%
VOL $18,048
Below 4.65%
VOL $73,720
Below 4.60%
VOL $8,799
Below 4.55%
VOL $11,829
Below 4.50%
VOL $33,627
Below 4.45%
VOL $43,086
Below 4.40%
VOL $30,471
Below 4.35%
VOL $48,063
Below 4.30%
VOL $24,169
Below 4.25%
VOL $26,123
Below 4.20%
VOL $35,939
Below 4.10%
VOL $16,360
Below 4.00%
VOL $10,032
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Below 4.70%
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
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$USD
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Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789