Stance
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Economy·Jerome Powell·Fed Rates

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

VOL $390,450
5.0%
5.1%
5.2%
5.5%
ALL
5.0%
5.0%
VOL $111,586
01234567890123456789%
5.1%
5.1%
VOL $3,835
01234567890123456789%
5.2%
5.2%
VOL $55,963
01234567890123456789%
5.5%
5.5%
VOL $18,329
01234567890123456789%
5.7%
5.7%
VOL $9,964
0123456789%
6.0%
6.0%
VOL $8,631
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
5.0%
5.0%
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789