Stance
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
World·Israel·Elections

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

VOL $310,990
Gadi Eizenkot—
Benjamin Netanyahu—
Naftali Bennett—
Yair Lapid—
ALL
Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eizenkot
VOL $118,845
01234567890123456789%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
VOL $136,700
01234567890123456789%
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett
VOL $39,772
0123456789%
Yair Lapid
Yair Lapid
VOL $2,029
0123456789%
Benny Gantz
Benny Gantz
VOL $703
0123456789%
Avigdor Lieberman
Avigdor Lieberman
VOL $3,093
0123456789%
Yossi Cohen
Yossi Cohen
VOL $993
0123456789%
Yair Golan
Yair Golan
VOL $966
0123456789%
Itamar Ben Gvir
Itamar Ben Gvir
VOL $725
0123456789%
Gideon Sa’ar
Gideon Sa’ar
VOL $669
0123456789%
Yariv Levin
Yariv Levin
VOL $713
0123456789%
Moshe Feiglin
Moshe Feiglin
VOL $514
0123456789%
Ayelet Shaked
Ayelet Shaked
VOL $981
0123456789%
Yoaz Hendel
Yoaz Hendel
VOL $720
0123456789%
Israel Katz
Israel Katz
VOL $790
0123456789%
Nir Barkat
Nir Barkat
VOL $729
0123456789%
Amir Ohana
Amir Ohana
VOL $637
0123456789%
Gilad Erdan
Gilad Erdan
VOL $739
0123456789%
Ofer Winter
Ofer Winter
VOL $673
0123456789%

Rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eizenkot
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789