Stance
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
Big Tech·AI·Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

VOL $127,069
1575
1600
ALL
1575
VOL $44,429
01234567890123456789%
1600
VOL $14,035
01234567890123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
1575
1575
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789