Stance
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
Trump·Iran·U.S. x Iran

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

VOL $28,970,868
December 31
September 30
August 31
July 31
ALL
December 31
VOL $2,051,932
0123456789%
September 30
VOL $64,505
0123456789%
August 31
VOL $0
0123456789%
July 31
VOL $646,338
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31
December 31
Yes0123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price0123456789¢
Est. shares0123456789,012345678901234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$0123456789,012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789