Stance
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Tech·AI·Gemini

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

VOL $6,017
August 12
August 21
August 11
August 22
ALL
August 12
VOL $176
01234567890123456789%
August 21
VOL $172
01234567890123456789%
August 11
VOL $136
01234567890123456789%
August 22
VOL $172
01234567890123456789%
No release by August 31
VOL $285
01234567890123456789%
August 17
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 27
VOL $211
01234567890123456789%
August 10
VOL $235
01234567890123456789%
August 15
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 20
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 26
VOL $145
01234567890123456789%
August 13
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 19
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 23
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 9
VOL $186
01234567890123456789%
August 18
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 25
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 28
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 8
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 16
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 5
VOL $377
01234567890123456789%
August 7
VOL $377
01234567890123456789%
August 31
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 30
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 14
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 29
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 24
VOL $177
01234567890123456789%
August 4
VOL $79
01234567890123456789%
August 6
VOL $177
0123456789%
August 2
VOL $274
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
August 12
August 12
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789