
Tech·AI·Gemini
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
VOL $6,017
ALL
August 12
VOL $176
August 21
VOL $172
August 11
VOL $136
August 22
VOL $172
No release by August 31
VOL $285
August 17
VOL $177
August 27
VOL $211
August 10
VOL $235
August 15
VOL $177
August 20
VOL $177
August 26
VOL $145
August 13
VOL $177
August 19
VOL $177
August 23
VOL $177
August 9
VOL $186
August 18
VOL $177
August 25
VOL $177
August 28
VOL $177
August 8
VOL $177
August 16
VOL $177
August 5
VOL $377
August 7
VOL $377
August 31
VOL $177
August 30
VOL $177
August 14
VOL $177
August 29
VOL $177
August 24
VOL $177
August 4
VOL $79
August 6
VOL $177
August 2
VOL $274
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

August 12
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789