Stance
Next Claude Opus released by...?
AI·Tech·Claude

Next Claude Opus released by...?

VOL $242,357
December 31
October 31
September 30
September 27
ALL
December 31
VOL $5,283
01234567890123456789%
October 31
VOL $14,965
01234567890123456789%
September 30
VOL $97,021
01234567890123456789%
September 27
VOL $28,583
01234567890123456789%
September 24
VOL $25,415
01234567890123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31
December 31
Yes01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789