Stance
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Geopolitics·Iran Ceasefire·Iran

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

VOL $8,191,564
December 31
September 30
August 31
July 31
ALL
December 31
VOL $137,415
01234567890123456789%
September 30
VOL $168,890
0123456789%
August 31
VOL $599,724
0123456789%
July 31
VOL $2,146,187
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
December 31
December 31
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789