Stance
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
Economy·Fed Rates·Treasuries

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?

VOL $16,656
Below 4.49%
Below 4.46%
Below 4.52%
Below 4.43%
ALL
Below 4.49%
VOL $1,091
01234567890123456789%
Below 4.46%
VOL $478
01234567890123456789%
Below 4.52%
VOL $2,930
01234567890123456789%
Below 4.43%
VOL $451
01234567890123456789%
Below 4.40%
VOL $2,734
0123456789%
Below 4.37%
VOL $1,807
0123456789%
Below 4.32%
VOL $2,331
0123456789%
Below 4.27%
VOL $2,229
0123456789%
Below 4.20%
VOL $2,604
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Below 4.49%
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789