Stance
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Economy·Fed Rates·Treasuries

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

VOL $58,689
Below 4.73%
Below 4.76%
Below 4.51%
Below 4.64%
ALL
Below 4.73%
VOL $13,263
0123456789%
Below 4.76%
VOL $20,816
0123456789%
Below 4.51%
VOL $980
0123456789%
Below 4.64%
VOL $4,366
0123456789%
Below 4.67%
VOL $2,629
0123456789%
Below 4.45%
VOL $2,645
0123456789%
Below 4.56%
VOL $1,632
0123456789%
Below 4.70%
VOL $9,222
0123456789%
Below 4.61%
VOL $3,137
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Below 4.73%
Yes0123456789.0123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price0123456789.0123456789¢
Est. shares0123456789,012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$0123456789,012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789