
Economy·Business·Fed Rates
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
VOL $259,232
ALL

Below 3.9%
VOL $50,833

Below 3.8%
VOL $56,060

Below 3.7%
VOL $32,668

Below 3.5%
VOL $39,404

Below 3.6%
VOL $6,185

Below 3.0%
VOL $1,187

Below 2.0%
VOL $564

Below 1.0%
VOL $40,572
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Below 3.9%
Yes01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789