Stance
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Economy·Business·Fed Rates

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

VOL $259,232
Below 3.9%
Below 3.8%
Below 3.7%
Below 3.5%
ALL
Below 3.9%
Below 3.9%
VOL $50,833
01234567890123456789%
Below 3.8%
Below 3.8%
VOL $56,060
0123456789%
Below 3.7%
Below 3.7%
VOL $32,668
0123456789%
Below 3.5%
Below 3.5%
VOL $39,404
0123456789%
Below 3.6%
Below 3.6%
VOL $6,185
0123456789%
Below 3.0%
Below 3.0%
VOL $1,187
0123456789%
Below 2.0%
Below 2.0%
VOL $564
0123456789%
Below 1.0%
Below 1.0%
VOL $40,572
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Below 3.9%
Below 3.9%
Yes01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789.0123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789