Stance
GPT-6 released by…?
OpenAI·GPT-5·Big Tech

GPT-6 released by…?

VOL $794,007
December 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
August 31, 2026
August 21, 2026
ALL
December 31, 2026
VOL $85,890
01234567890123456789%
September 30, 2026
VOL $103,697
01234567890123456789%
August 31, 2026
VOL $79,677
01234567890123456789%
August 21, 2026
VOL $41,733
01234567890123456789%
August 14, 2026
VOL $44,465
0123456789%
August 7, 2026
VOL $29,312
0123456789%
July 31, 2026
VOL $81,104
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789