Stance
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
Gemini·AI Releases·Gemini 3

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

VOL $1,463,471
November 30—
October 31—
October 23—
October 16—
ALL
November 30
VOL $52,842
01234567890123456789%
October 31
VOL $241,380
01234567890123456789%
October 23
VOL $11,465
01234567890123456789%
October 16
VOL $21,117
01234567890123456789%
October 15
VOL $198,692
01234567890123456789%
October 14
VOL $20,260
01234567890123456789%
October 13
VOL $23,170
01234567890123456789%
October 12
VOL $13,939
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
November 30
November 30
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
Est. fee$0123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789