
Trump·Peace Deal·geopolitcs
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
VOL $318,655
JD Vance
VOL $52,657
01234567890123456789%
Abbas Araghchi
VOL $18,211
01234567890123456789%
Shehbaz Sharif
VOL $12,081
01234567890123456789%
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
VOL $10,654
01234567890123456789%
Donald Trump
VOL $50,869
01234567890123456789%
Masoud Pezeshkian
VOL $12,910
01234567890123456789%
Steve Witkoff
VOL $15,446
01234567890123456789%
Marco Rubio
VOL $13,070
01234567890123456789%
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
VOL $1,913
01234567890123456789%
King Abdullah II
VOL $13,489
01234567890123456789%
Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
VOL $7,719
01234567890123456789%
Mohammed bin Salman
VOL $5,419
01234567890123456789%
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
VOL $12,130
0123456789%
Benjamin Netanyahu
VOL $30,854
0123456789%
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
VOL $6,443
0123456789%
Mojtaba Khamenei
VOL $11,626
0123456789%
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
VOL $8,248
0123456789%
Pete Hegseth
VOL $31,911
0123456789%
Ali Larijani
VOL $4,172
0123456789%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

JD Vance
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789