Stance
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Foreign Policy·U.S. x Iran·Nuclear

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

VOL $10,686,812
Qatar
VOL $711,201
01234567890123456789%
Switzerland
VOL $947,539
01234567890123456789%
No Meeting by June 30
VOL $1,542,775
0123456789%
Pakistan
VOL $1,392,424
0123456789%
Other - Europe
VOL $535,047
0123456789%
Oman
VOL $501,861
0123456789%
Austria
VOL $356,345
0123456789%
Other
VOL $395,308
0123456789%
USA
VOL $397,230
0123456789%
UAE
VOL $221,650
0123456789%
Iran
VOL $904,210
0123456789%
Egypt
VOL $352,716
0123456789%
Iraq
VOL $809,227
0123456789%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
VOL $292,305
0123456789%
Saudi Arabia
VOL $298,493
0123456789%
Kazakhstan
VOL $115,275
0123456789%
Russia
VOL $266,618
0123456789%
Turkey
VOL $438,984
0123456789%
Italy
VOL $209,039
0123456789%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Qatar
Qatar
Yes01234567890123456789¢
Outcome
Bal $0123456789
$USD
Avg price01234567890123456789¢
Est. shares012345678901234567890123456789
Amount$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789
To win$012345678901234567890123456789.01234567890123456789